geopolitics

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A crowd waves a red and green flag with a man's photo in the center ringed in yellow or gold. The people are standing with their backs to the camera looking toward a compound behind a wall at about the level of their heads.

In Addition to Chinese Pressure, a Backsliding Democracy May Explain Zambia’s Decision to Cancel a Major Human Rights Summit

Zambia’s cancellation of RightsCon is an indication not only of China’s influence, but also the country's own democratic erosion under a government that promised otherwise.
French President Macron (seated on left), European Commission President von der Leyen (standing center), and European Council President Antonio Costa (seated right) interact as three men stand behind them. Macron, his hands clasped at his chin, is listening to von der Leyen and Costa.

The Transatlantic Dilemma: How to Pursue Autonomy Without Foreclosing Future Cooperation

Transatlantic relations are unraveling as U.S.-Europe tensions deepen over Ukraine, Iran, and NATO, risking a long-term shift from cooperation to strategic rivalry.
Circuit board with running data.

Too Dangerous to Deploy: Anthropic’s Mythos and What Comes Next

Mythos is a harbinger of the dilemmas that AI companies & governments will face in enabling the safe adoption of progressively more powerful models.
A tanker is docked at an offloading terminal.

Taking a Toll

How allowing Iran to charge for transit in the Strait of Hormuz could undermine U.S. strategy in the Pacific and beyond
Michael Kratsios sits at a desk with a microphone.

From Diagnosis to Deterrence: The Emerging U.S. Response to Adversarial Distillation

Recent U.S. actions are laying the groundwork for imposing costs on Chinese AI labs engaged in adversarial distillation of frontier models.

Cybersecurity Meets Geopolitics at Top EU Court

An upcoming ruling at the Court of Justice of the EU will shape the course of European cyber and ICT supply chain security regulation.
Dodik, dressed in a dark blue suit and tie and white shirt, is shown in front of a blue backdrop with the white, gold, blue and red seal of Republika Srpska. He is speaking into a half dozen red and blue microphones and pointing to a spiral bound report.

Bosnian Serb Secessionists Wield Islamophobia to Gain International Support for Their Cause

In U.S. and Israel meetings, Bosnian Serb leaders used anti-Muslim rhetoric to gain support for their ethno-nationalist separatist project.
U.S. and Chinese flags on a computer chip

The Case for Imposing Costs on China’s AI Distillation Campaigns

The U.S. government should respond to Chinese AI adversarial distillation attacks with a layered set of established legal authorities.
​Under a bright, blue sky, a giant white composite wind blade lies horizontally. Displayed across the wind turbine reads: "PROUDLY MADE IN THE U.S.A.​," the American flag, and the logo of TPI Composites, Inc.

Energy Security is National Security: Fixing America’s Incoherent Energy Policies

In a world where conflict abroad reverberates rapidly through global energy systems, “energy dominance” cannot be defined narrowly as maximizing fossil fuel output.
Light gray colored missiles with "JL-1" markings on the side rest atop camouflage-painted truck beds arrayed in a square in front of a massive columned building.

The End of Treaty Nostalgia: Arms Control After New START

New START’s expiration highlights the limits of arms control designed for an earlier era of bilateral rivalry, without accounting for factors such as China's buildup.
Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau (L) speaks at a lectern as AUC Chairperson Mahmoud Ali Youssouf (R) stands at the right, both of them in front of an American flag and multiple green flags of the African Union.

New U.S.–AU Infrastructure Working Group Could Thrive With Strong Values-Based Safeguards

If the Strategic Infrastructure and Investment Working Group is to succeed, the United States must anchor its offerings in rules-based governance.
President Donald Trump meets with Argentina’s President Javier Milei at the Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center in Oxon Hill, Maryland, on Saturday, February 22, 2025. (Official White House Photo by Molly Riley)

What Tariffs and the Argentina Bailout Can Tell Us About the Perils of Financial Statecraft

When the U.S. doesn't appreciate the role of finance in geopolitics, it risks mismanaging its responsibilities—and in the process creating economic and political instability.
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