geopolitics
26 Articles

In Addition to Chinese Pressure, a Backsliding Democracy May Explain Zambia’s Decision to Cancel a Major Human Rights Summit
Zambia’s cancellation of RightsCon is an indication not only of China’s influence, but also the country's own democratic erosion under a government that promised otherwise.

The Transatlantic Dilemma: How to Pursue Autonomy Without Foreclosing Future Cooperation
Transatlantic relations are unraveling as U.S.-Europe tensions deepen over Ukraine, Iran, and NATO, risking a long-term shift from cooperation to strategic rivalry.

Too Dangerous to Deploy: Anthropic’s Mythos and What Comes Next
Mythos is a harbinger of the dilemmas that AI companies & governments will face in enabling the safe adoption of progressively more powerful models.

Taking a Toll
How allowing Iran to charge for transit in the Strait of Hormuz could undermine U.S. strategy in the Pacific and beyond

From Diagnosis to Deterrence: The Emerging U.S. Response to Adversarial Distillation
Recent U.S. actions are laying the groundwork for imposing costs on Chinese AI labs engaged in adversarial distillation of frontier models.

Cybersecurity Meets Geopolitics at Top EU Court
An upcoming ruling at the Court of Justice of the EU will shape the course of European cyber and ICT supply chain security regulation.

Bosnian Serb Secessionists Wield Islamophobia to Gain International Support for Their Cause
In U.S. and Israel meetings, Bosnian Serb leaders used anti-Muslim rhetoric to gain support for their ethno-nationalist separatist project.

The Case for Imposing Costs on China’s AI Distillation Campaigns
The U.S. government should respond to Chinese AI adversarial distillation attacks with a layered set of established legal authorities.

Energy Security is National Security: Fixing America’s Incoherent Energy Policies
In a world where conflict abroad reverberates rapidly through global energy systems, “energy dominance” cannot be defined narrowly as maximizing fossil fuel output.

The End of Treaty Nostalgia: Arms Control After New START
New START’s expiration highlights the limits of arms control designed for an earlier era of bilateral rivalry, without accounting for factors such as China's buildup.

New U.S.–AU Infrastructure Working Group Could Thrive With Strong Values-Based Safeguards
If the Strategic Infrastructure and Investment Working Group is to succeed, the United States must anchor its offerings in rules-based governance.

What Tariffs and the Argentina Bailout Can Tell Us About the Perils of Financial Statecraft
When the U.S. doesn't appreciate the role of finance in geopolitics, it risks mismanaging its responsibilities—and in the process creating economic and political instability.