Nuclear proliferation

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U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (L) and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Air Force Gen. Dan Caine (R) turn to watch a video of a bombing test

What Counts as a Win?: Battle Damage Assessments and Public Messaging

The White House's future BDA briefings on the Iran strikes will likely project certainty where analysis still urges caution.
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine

Intelligence Implications of the Shifting Iran Strike Narrative

How the growing politicization of the U.S. intelligence community undermines the integrity of decision-making on Iran and national security more broadly.
An Iranian flag is draped from a building damaged during a recent attack by Israel in the Gisha neighborhood of Tehran, Iran, on June 25, 2025. (Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)

Why War? Why Now? Assessing Iranian Intentions and Capabilities

Why did Israel, and then the United States, decide to attack Iran now, even as U.S.-Iranian negotiations sputtered along?
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (L), accompanied by Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Air Force Gen. Dan Caine (R), speaks during a news conference at the Pentagon on June 22, 2025 in Arlington, Virginia. U.S. President Donald Trump gave an address to the nation last night after three Iranian nuclear facilities were struck by the U.S. military. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

President Trump’s Decision to Bomb Iran: From Bad to Worse

Whether newly announced ceasefire actually leads to end hostilities will not change the new reality: a comprehensive agreement is less likely now than before the bombing
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Air Force Gen. Dan Caine discusses the mission details of a strike on Iran during a news conference at the Pentagon on June 22, 2025 in Arlington, Virginia. U.S. President Donald Trump gave an address to the nation last night after three Iranian nuclear facilities were struck by the U.S. military. In the image he is showing the media a graphic that describes the timeline of the operation. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

The Day After U.S. Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Program: A Policy and Legal Assessment

An expert policy and legal assessment of the U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities and what comes next.
Iranian protesters march in Tehran's Revolution Square

The Strategic Stakes after Israel’s Opening Strikes on Iran

Strategic implications of Israel’s strikes on Iran and key questions policymakers should ask to navigate what comes next.
People and first-responders gather outside a building that was hit by an Israeli strike in Tehran on June 13, 2025. Israel hit about 100 targets in Iran on June 13, including nuclear facilities and military command centres and killing senior figures including the armed forces chief and top nuclear scientists. (Photo by MEGHDAD MADADI/TASNIM NEWS/AFP via Getty Images)

The Israeli Strike on Iran the U.S. Saw Coming, but Couldn’t Stop

The Israel-Iran crisis will be a key test for how the Trump administration handles national security crises and its ability to respond.
Smoke rises from a location allegedly targeted in Israel's wave of strikes on Tehran, Iran, on early morning of June 13, 2025. (Photo by SAN/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images)

Israeli Strikes Risk Driving Iran Toward Nuclear Weapons

An assessment of the implications of Israel's strikes on Iran this morning for nuclear diplomacy and regional stability.
This combination of pictures created on April 09, 2025 shows US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff (L) and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (L)

Creating the Conditions for a Nuclear Deal with Iran

The Trump administration should focus on messaging pragmatic objectives for a deal and de-emphasizing U.S. efforts to exert “maximum pressure” on Iran while talks are ongoing.
Missile system on the background of sunset sky

Doubts Concerning America’s Reliability Should Not Lead to a European Nuclear Deterrent

Stepping away from NATO would reduce U.S. leverage over European allies, potentially leading to more nuclear-armed states.
The Environmental Restoration Disposal Facility is seen at the Hanford Nuclear Reservation June 30, 2005 near Richland, Washington

Nuclear Testing Is a Relic. Resuming It Would Be Reckless.

The United States will uphold its leadership in non-proliferation by refraining from unnecessary and destabilizing nuclear tests.
Department of Energy building in Washington, DC

Questions for Senators (and Journalists) to Ask Secretary of Energy Nominee Chris Wright

We asked leading experts what questions the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources should focus on in Wright’s confirmation hearing.
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