Empirical Research

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a purple geometric background with the dark purple and colorful cover of the 2024 Rule of Law Index.

Rule of Law Index Shows Some Rays of Hope Amidst Continuing Global Recession

While the rule of law recession persists, the 2024 data show progress on some issues and some countries stepping back from the brink of autocracy.
Insurgents inside the Capitol building during the January 6 attack. One holds a phone in front of his face, and a poster is erected over a statue. The poster reads, “America First Never give up never surrender!!!”

Introduction to Expert Statements on Role of Extremism in Social and News Media, submitted to January 6th House Select Committee

Twenty statements from leading experts in law, academia, and other research organizations

Old Constitutional Provisions and Presidential Selection: The folly of exhuming Section 3 of the 14th Amendment

A critical analysis of the use of the 14th Amendment to bar candidates, including former President Trump, from running for office, without congressional implementing legislation.…
Lady Justice

New Rule of Law Index: Spread of Authoritarianism Slows But Justice Systems Are Failing

Annual index reveals new global trends in reversing authoritarianism but concerns about civil and justice systems. See also U.S. rankings.
The Meta logo is displayed against a white background.

The Meta Studies: Nuanced Findings, Corporate Spin, and Media Oversimplification

A collaboration between social scientists and Meta has been held up as a potential “new model for platform research” that may help explain the effects social media companies…
(L) headshot of FBI Director Christopher Wray, (R) headshot of Representative Jim Jordan

Anticipating Jim Jordan’s Judiciary Committee Hearing with FBI Director Wray

Will there be real oversight or more allegations of conspiracies and victimhood that drive political violence?

Why the E. Jean Carroll Verdict Will Matter to Voters

Sexual assault is incompatible with serving in public office, according to large majorities of voters.
crowd of Trump rioters in front of the Capitol building

Introduction to Expert Statements on Democracy and Political Violence, submitted to January 6th House select committee

33 statements from leading experts in law, academia, and other research organizations

Let’s Talk About Compliance with International Humanitarian Law

What the empirics say about how States and non-State actors actually behave on the battlefield and under what conditions their compliance with humanitarian law changes.
Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld is seen on a television monitor as he testifies before the bipartisan September 11 commission, formally known as the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon The U.S., on Capitol Hill March 23, 2004 in Washington, DC. Photographers can be seen kneeling on the floor with cameras and officials sit at tables around the room.

How a January 6 Commission Can Succeed: What Empirical Research Tells Us

Research on more than 50 independent commissions sheds light on optimal design for commission, selection of its commissioners, and their work ahead.
OECD Chart of United States and South Korea harmonized unemployment rates from Oct. 2019-July 2020. The chart shows the two countries had approximately the same unemployment rate before March 2020, around 3.5% to 4%. By April 2020, the unemployment rate in the U.S. rose to about 14%, while South Korea stayed approximately the same. The rate in South Korea peaked at 4.5% in May 2020, and remained between 3 and 4.5% thereafter. The U.S. rate decreased after April, but has not returned anywhere close to the levels it was at before. In July 2020, the rate remains over 10%.

Mass Job Losses and Other Economic Costs of President Trump’s Inaction on Coronavirus

An economic analysis of the impact of federal mismanagement of the coronavirus pandemic, including effects on unemployment and recession.
Red and blue Lights of police car in night time.

White Supremacist Infiltration of US Police Forces: Fact-Checking National Security Advisor O’Brien

What the available research says about systemic discrimination in law enforcement as well as links to racist and white supremacist ideology.
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