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The Path to War is Paved with Obscure Intentions: Signaling and Perception in the Era of AI

Notions of what constitutes signaling and intent must evolve with AI if states are to avoid potentially catastrophic consequences.
Rows of refugee tents

The Directive to Evacuate Northern Gaza: Advance Warning or Forced Displacement?

Top expert analyzes IDF directive for civilians in northern Gaza to evacuate.
Palestinians walk through debris amid massive destruction from Israeli airstrikes in Gaza City's al-Rimal district, on October 10, 2023. Israel kept up its deadly bombardment of Hamas-controlled Gaza on October 10 after the Palestinian militant group threatened to execute some of the around 150 hostages it abducted in a weekend assault if air strikes continue without warning.

Rare ICRC Public Statement Calls for “Pause” in Gaza Fighting

ICRC statement says "instructions issued by the Israeli authorities for the population of Gaza City to immediately leave their homes, coupled with the complete siege explicitly…

The ‘Murky’ Morality of Opposition to US Support for Ukraine: A Response

In his concern for Ukrainian lives, a `realist' remains impervious to Ukrainians’ own interests and ability to assess their options.

Policy Alert: Key Questions in Hamas’ Attack on Israel and What Comes Next

Officials are scrambling to gauge foreign involvement and intelligence failures, even as they decide how to respond militarily and otherwise.
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The Just Security Podcast: An Insider View of the Defense Department with Colin Kahl

Just Security’s Co-Editor-in-Chief Tess Bridgeman sat down with Colin Kahl, the former U.S. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy.

US Policy on Marshall Islands Nuclear Test Compensation Must Change – China Is Watching

The legacy of 67 blasts over a decade, buried nuclear waste and human subject studies creates a moral and strategic imperative.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken testifies during a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing on Capitol Hill March 23, 2023 in Washington, DC.

Key Takeaways from September 28 House Foreign Affairs Committee Hearing on AUMF Reform

The HFAC hearing clarified the shallowness of the Biden administration’s conception of AUMF reform, divisions between the political branches and within the House, and the risks…
The dome of the US Capitol Building against a blue sky.

Why “Associated Forces” Should be Kept Out of Any New AUMF

Any new AUMF must be limited to only the clearly specified non-state armed groups Congress has voted to authorize war against.
The General Assembly of the United Nations with a voting board that reads "In Favor 141, Against 5, Abstention 35."

The Future Battlefield: Governed by International Law or Kriegsraison?

Russia's justifications for its invasion of Ukraine and the international response demonstrate the enduring relevance of international law.

Ethiopia’s Conflict Is Spreading, But UN Human Rights Council May End Expert Investigation Anyway

EU presses to let mandate end despite commission finding that “past and current abuses in these four regions demand further investigation.”
Ethiopian migrants walk on foot along a highway

Congress Should Pass the SAFEGUARD Act to Overhaul Arms Sales Law and Protect Human Rights

The SAFEGUARD Act provides a pathway for Congress to push for accountability for the violence linked to U.S. arms sales.
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