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U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (L) and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Air Force Gen. Dan Caine (R) turn to watch a video of a bombing test

What Counts as a Win?: Battle Damage Assessments and Public Messaging

The White House's future BDA briefings on the Iran strikes will likely project certainty where analysis still urges caution.
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine

Intelligence Implications of the Shifting Iran Strike Narrative

How the growing politicization of the U.S. intelligence community undermines the integrity of decision-making on Iran and national security more broadly.
People and first-responders gather outside a building that was hit by an Israeli strike in Tehran on June 13, 2025. Israel hit about 100 targets in Iran on June 13, including nuclear facilities and military command centres and killing senior figures including the armed forces chief and top nuclear scientists. (Photo by MEGHDAD MADADI/TASNIM NEWS/AFP via Getty Images)

The Israeli Strike on Iran the U.S. Saw Coming, but Couldn’t Stop

The Israel-Iran crisis will be a key test for how the Trump administration handles national security crises and its ability to respond.
Central Intelligence Agency Director John Ratcliffe (R) accompanied by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard (L)

When Intelligence Stops Bounding Uncertainty: The Dangerous Tilt Toward Politicization under Trump

In a system where assessments are filtered to support policy, the next intelligence failure will not be a surprise, but a choice.
Collage of images pertaining to artificial intelligence

Just Security’s Artificial Intelligence Archive

Just Security's collection of articles analyzing the implications of AI for society, democracy, human rights, and warfare.
Katherine Keneally and Julia Ebner answer questions at the Calleva-Airey Neave Global Security Seminar Series hosted by Oxford University’s Blavatnik School of Government on May 1, 2025.

Q&A with Katherine Keneally: The Future of Terrorism Detection and Analysis

How should we understand evolving terrorism, and what’s needed for better threat assessment? Julia Ebner discussed this with expert Katherine Keneally.
Visualization of a digital world

The Digital Divide Meets the Quantum Divide

Governments should pursue policies that aim to make the benefits of quantum technologies accessible to all, not just the Global North.
National flags of USA and Russia waving in the wind on a clear day.

Intelligence Sharing Is a True Measure of U.S. Strategic Realignment with Russia

Shifts in intelligence sharing practice with Russia would reliably signal that the United States is instituting a deep strategic realignment.
Central Intelligence Agency Director John Ratcliffe (R), accompanied by FBI Director Kash Patel (L), and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard (C)

Signal Gate: The Criminal Law Precedents That Are Most Relevant

A range of federal laws, including the Espionage Act and laws against the destruction of government records, could apply in this case.
Low angle view of a dome, Capitol Building, Washington DC, USA - stock photo

Congress Must Stop the Weaponization of Personal Security Clearances

Protecting our nation from actual and potential adversaries is not a partisan issue.
The episode title appears with sound waves behind it.

The Just Security Podcast: What Just Happened Series, CIA Officers’ Lawsuit at Intersection of DEI and National Security

A small number of intelligence officers who were fired because one of their duties involved DEI efforts at CIA have sued to keep their jobs.
DHS Flag painted on a wall

How DHS Laid the Groundwork for More Intelligence Abuse

The DHS I&A's new guidance validates an expansive view of legal authorities that permit abusive counterterrorism and surveillance powers.
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